Salty-Evening
0xd202cde7870a2125a9d706c44e7b22f231f7538d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.13
Total PnL
$-380.54
Realised
$18.15
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 29?
213 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.11
$-1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 29?
41 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.02
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 18?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 16?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 16?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?
631 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 13?
625 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?$1.55Jul 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 29?$2.08Jul 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 29?$2.08Jul 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 29?$2.10Jul 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 29?$2.10Jul 28, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 29?$2.10Jul 28, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?$2.10Jul 28, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 28?$2.09Jul 28, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 28?$2.09Jul 28, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 28?$2.08Jul 28, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 28?$2.09Jul 28, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 28?$2.09Jul 28, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 22?$0.11Jul 27, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 18?$0.12Jul 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 22?$9.38Jul 22, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 22?$2.09Jul 21, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 22?$2.07Jul 21, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 22?$2.09Jul 21, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 22?$2.09Jul 21, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 22?$2.09Jul 21, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.