Ill-Toothpick
0xd207a5ce42672184a758baae7d68d9d9a91761af
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
19000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-9.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
9900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?$1.20Dec 15, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.23Dec 15, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.21Dec 15, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.20Dec 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?$1.20Dec 3, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?$1.21Dec 3, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.21Nov 27, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pakistan win Miss Universe 2025?$1.21Nov 27, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United States win Miss Universe 2025?$1.22Nov 27, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?$1.20Nov 27, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?$1.21Nov 18, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.20Nov 18, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pakistan win Miss Universe 2025?$1.20Nov 13, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win Miss Universe 2025?$1.20Nov 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?$1.20Nov 9, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.20Oct 29, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$9.5KOct 13, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$9.5KOct 13, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$2.50Oct 13, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$2.50Oct 13, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 03:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".