Striking-Scheduling
0xd20a43b8b2720be1c7eee3577a00c3607fff7434
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-68.22
Realised
$0.79
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 13?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?
38 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 15?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?
30 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?
23 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?
17 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?
11 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?$10.37May 28, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?$12.28May 28, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?$1.04May 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?$10.30May 28, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$11.18May 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?$1.03May 28, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$5.14May 28, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?$5.15May 28, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?$1.04May 27, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?$5.16May 27, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?$5.78May 27, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?$5.12May 27, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?$6.52May 27, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?$10.34May 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?$4.98May 27, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?$6.33May 27, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?$6.11May 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?$6.03May 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?$2.04May 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?$5.14May 26, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.