Used-Run
0xd20ccb9fbda15b2604dd3d7f69119e5e76070352
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$32.07
Total PnL
$-173.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 31?
32 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$32.07
$3.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?
116 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 19?
110 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?
110 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 24?
105 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 30?
104 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 30?
97 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
95 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 19?
85 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 5AM ET
78 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET$72.90Apr 30, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on January 22?$0.00Apr 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 14?$1.36Apr 14, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET$0.32Apr 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET$70.03Apr 11, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$84.50Apr 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 31?$28.86Mar 31, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?$0.00Mar 31, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?$0.00Mar 30, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.21Mar 28, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$83.11Mar 28, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 28?$105.44Mar 28, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 28?$103.96Mar 28, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 25?$84.75Mar 26, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 25?$82.97Mar 25, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 24?$104.89Mar 24, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 24?$102.79Mar 23, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 21?$81.67Mar 23, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 21?$79.71Mar 21, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 19?$1.62Mar 19, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $43.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 22:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.