Chief-Supervisor
0xd2150835ebb2eb5cfc9d9b58a4558deaeda87471
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.04
Total PnL
$-268.86
Realised
$-6.65
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
72 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- NO
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?
325 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
290 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
183 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-45.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
160 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.00Feb 25, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3PM ET$5.00Feb 18, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.10Feb 17, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11PM ET$3.11Feb 17, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.85Feb 17, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.89Feb 17, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.78Feb 17, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.23Feb 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$15.00Feb 16, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$3.00Feb 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Tampon Tim” by February 28?$1.00Feb 16, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "N-Word" in February?$1.00Feb 16, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks$7.22Feb 16, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTeam World vs. Team USA Stars$17.22Feb 15, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTeam World vs. Team USA Stars$5.00Feb 15, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.00Feb 15, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$4.59Feb 15, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 04:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 23:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.