Icy-Watch
0xd216cbb44d42376cec902d742447274ae8c83972
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$5.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
3219 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-122.34
- YES
Megaquake by September 30?
3088 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-156.69
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
2590 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Megaquake by October 31?
2277 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-120.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
1429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Megaquake by December 31?
1149 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
1020 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
728 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
586 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-109.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$20.00Apr 5, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$811.06Apr 5, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files before August?$0.00Mar 29, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$0.00Mar 29, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMIran Nuke in 2025?$0.00Mar 29, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?$0.00Mar 29, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 29, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMJustin Bieber rehab in 2025?$0.00Mar 29, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$0.00Mar 29, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 29, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$536.75Mar 29, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$74.80Mar 29, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$15.92Mar 29, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$9.02Mar 29, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 20, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$122.34Mar 16, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by March 31?$5.00Mar 6, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?$10.00Mar 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $65.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.