Fixed-Payoff
0xd21cd8cb89b0f2a075f114d11b3ec00de32e19b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-454.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2025 September third hottest on record?
400 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-150.58
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-05?
321 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-122.00
- YES
Will Vegas Matt be profitable: Week of October 12
230 shares @ 72.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-165.80
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
50 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-16.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Neogen (NEOG) beat quarterly earnings?$30.00Oct 11, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vegas Matt be profitable: Week of October 12$32.00Oct 11, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vegas Matt be profitable: Week of October 12$40.00Oct 11, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 September third hottest on record?$0.68Oct 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 September third hottest on record?$10.20Oct 11, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 September third hottest on record?$23.12Oct 11, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vegas Matt be profitable: Week of October 12$93.80Oct 10, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by November 10?$16.50Oct 10, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 September third hottest on record?$100.62Oct 10, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 September third hottest on record?$15.96Oct 10, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neogen (NEOG) beat quarterly earnings?$29.94Oct 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-05?$122.00Oct 5, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $44.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.