Warmhearted-Laboratory
0xd2204aa5b03474b6b63bd50c9cd6e20ac03e95fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$31.71
Total PnL
$-24.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
32 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$31.71
$1.71
- YES
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
124 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$5.00Dec 17, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$15.00Dec 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?$3.00Dec 5, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?$3.00Dec 5, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?$23.59Dec 5, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$30.00Nov 19, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?$20.00Nov 19, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 19, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 19, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.00Nov 19, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$44.53Nov 19, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$44.00Nov 6, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$11.00Nov 6, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$45.32Nov 6, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?$0.00Nov 6, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$5.00Oct 30, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?$5.00Oct 30, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Oct 28, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$5.00Oct 28, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Oct 28, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $16.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 17:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".