Muted-Stew
0xd221ca16813d577f1bd8ea592c84cdc21851a44b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$371.26
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$-2.7K
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
3002 shares @ 12.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$285.17
$-83.89
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1400 shares @ 6.4¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.09
$-3.62
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
18777 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-920.93
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
12731 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-172.88
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
10374 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-597.21
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
4784 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-401.84
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?
2391 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?
2382 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?
2337 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?
2330 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$33.00Jun 10, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$33.00Jun 10, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$57.60Jun 8, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$30.00Jun 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$27.60Jun 8, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$10.60Jun 8, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$10.62Jun 8, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$21.83Jun 7, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.50Jun 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$19.29Jun 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$13.40Jun 7, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$20.00Jun 7, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$33.44Jun 7, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$58.00Jun 6, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$10.00Jun 6, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$48.00Jun 6, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$7.26Jun 5, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$43.68Jun 5, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$14.72Jun 4, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$14.72Jun 4, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $40.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.