Jubilant-Going
0xd224b49385be4d9f26e121e3ed376b32ef0817c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-67.44
Win rate
41%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
107 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-50.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
99 shares @ 76.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-75.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
67 shares @ 67.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-45.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
60 shares @ 80.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-48.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
50 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-30.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
49 shares @ 76.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-37.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
49 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-34.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
40 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-33.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
40 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-24.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
40 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-27.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$20.00Jul 9, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$7.70Jul 9, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$7.80Jul 9, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$6.64Jul 9, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.91Jul 9, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$20.00Jul 9, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.50Jul 9, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$8.44Jul 9, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.91Jul 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$4.61Jul 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$9.55Jul 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.63Jul 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2.57Jul 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$3.68Jul 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$5.38Jul 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$7.78Jul 9, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.70Jul 9, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.24Jul 9, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$3.37Jul 9, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$3.73Jul 9, 12:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
41% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
44 closed markets, 41% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.