Svelte-Variability
0xd22c92099b4947ac70d8cb47e5c77ffc9f27efdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$9.8K
Win rate
69%
142 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
881 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-114.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
613 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-55.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
572 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-298.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
547 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
519 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-43.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
514 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-198.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
506 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
493 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-322.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
479 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-48.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
403 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-92.58
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$83.68Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$232.39Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$176.40Jul 13, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$13.96Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$13.96Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$14.11Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$14.11Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$14.11Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$6.37Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$14.11Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$14.26Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$7.60Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.64Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.02Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$3.87Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$3.98Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.68Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.02Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.68Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.68Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
81/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 142 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
142 closed markets, 69% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 142 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.