Sophisticated-Glockenspiel
0xd2319b92c34ede60180f44ac3fa7391818c0f0c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$17.85
Total PnL
$-23.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
239 shares @ 2.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.03
$8.03
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$1.01
- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-4.74
- NO
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel invade Iran before July?
172 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Bezos divorce in 2025?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?
11 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".