Tangible-Sort
0xd234fc2e3028b4b864f2261db841391187979bfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$32.42
Total PnL
$-380.16
Realised
$38.90
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on July 30?
94 shares @ 4.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.65
$1.88
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.89
$0.89
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 30?
15 shares @ 13.1¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 31?
21 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.21
$-1.79
- UNDER
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 0.5
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 30?
107 shares @ 4.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.56
$-2.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 31?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 30?
232 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 31?
58 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.15
$-0.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Ingkar Dyussebay$10.00Jul 30, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$9.38Jul 30, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$9.89Jul 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.24Jul 30, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?$5.09Jul 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$10.87Jul 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$3.77Jul 30, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.5$2.06Jul 30, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 0.5$2.09Jul 30, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Ingkar Dyussebay$1.04Jul 30, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Henan FC (-1.5)$1.03Jul 30, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on July 30?$3.95Jul 30, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 30?$1.05Jul 30, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?$2.09Jul 30, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on August 1?$1.05Jul 30, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 31?$2.10Jul 30, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 31?$4.16Jul 30, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 31?$1.05Jul 30, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?$1.05Jul 30, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?$3.13Jul 30, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.