Grand-Transparency
0xd236e1eaf8f95e1fc4e59160022430fa8296ca9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on February 28?
478 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on February 26?
220 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 27?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 26?
84 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on February 26?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on February 26?
48 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 26?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 26?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 26?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 26?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on February 27?$0.12Feb 27, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 end of February?$0.36Feb 27, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on February 27?$0.01Feb 27, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $480 end of February?$0.20Feb 27, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?$1.81Feb 27, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLParamount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?$0.88Feb 27, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?$0.89Feb 27, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31?$0.83Feb 27, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 27?$0.99Feb 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on February 27?$0.99Feb 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 28?$0.99Feb 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on February 27?$0.99Feb 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on February 27?$0.99Feb 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 27?$1.00Feb 27, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on February 27?$2.00Feb 27, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 26?$1.02Feb 27, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.82Feb 27, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta (META) close above $800 end of February?$0.44Feb 27, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.21Feb 27, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of February?$0.19Feb 27, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".