Sniveling-Communication
0xd256c0bff4e69185d9498163a9a6c732b008b945
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
4148 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-937.58
- YES
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
4000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-120.09
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?
2228 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-593.18
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?
1404 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-158.40
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?
1400 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-71.19
- YES
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?
750 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-242.17
- YES
Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
709 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-56.49
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
479 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-130.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.48Feb 10, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$671.79Feb 7, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$896.87Feb 7, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$1.58Feb 7, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$1.84Feb 7, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$2.15Jan 20, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$19.80Jan 14, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?$62.77Jan 13, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$13.92Jan 13, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$4.91Jan 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$10.00Jan 9, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$7.30Jan 9, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$9.21Jan 9, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$0.80Jan 9, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$1.55Jan 9, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.82Jan 9, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.70Jan 9, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$156.08Jan 9, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$37.91Jan 9, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?$92.00Jan 7, 19:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $45.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.