Marvelous-Topsail
0xd2578f63c38a83456c679ef5e73ed213193b1653
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$9.62
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on June 11?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.61
$0.01
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 11?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 11?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will White House post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on June 11?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on June 11?$1.60Jun 11, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on June 11?$1.30Jun 11, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.40Jun 11, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 11?$1.40Jun 11, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.40Jun 11, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?$1.00Jun 11, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 11?$1.50Jun 11, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 14?$1.11Jun 11, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on May 14?$1.50Jun 11, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 14?$1.70Jun 11, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 14?$2.00Jun 11, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 14?$1.70May 14, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 14?$1.10May 14, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on May 14?$1.50May 14, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 14?$2.00May 14, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00May 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 23, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.62Apr 9, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.50Apr 9, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on April 8?$2.81Apr 9, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $60.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.