Sudden-Snowstorm
0xd25b8718f61fb64a754356ad8cf16b5579f59f3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$81.0K
Total PnL
$5.0K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
30000 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$30.0K
$446.95
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
26153 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.7K
$392.32
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
20884 shares @ 82.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$19.5K
$2.2K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 29?
4757 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.8K
$4.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 29?
3103 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.1K
$1.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?
26 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$26.30
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 29?$471.91Jul 29, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 29?$282.48Jul 29, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 29?$284.43Jul 29, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 29?$708.58Jul 29, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 29?$4.99Jul 29, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 29?$3.0KJul 29, 01:23 UTC
- REWARD$2.71Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?$768.07Jul 28, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMVisa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?$250.25Jul 28, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYVisa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?$250.00Jul 28, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?$287.93Jul 28, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$48.38Jul 28, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?$5.15Jul 28, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?$479.37Jul 28, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$48.33Jul 28, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMMeta (META) Up or Down on July 28?$50.00Jul 28, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on July 28?$50.00Jul 28, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on July 28?$40.00Jul 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on July 28?$39.96Jul 28, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on July 28?$49.95Jul 28, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
$10.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $295.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 08:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.