Extra-Large-Incompetence
0xd25e45d4441fe8f97f99d5b301605fe66129f458
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$6.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
1107 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
1066 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
1014 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16?
975 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-146.17
- OVER
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5
969 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.20
- OVER
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5
648 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-38.87
- OVER
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5
552 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-182.26
- OVER
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5
542 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-97.54
- OVER
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
423 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-148.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 16?
419 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-43.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5$49.57May 30, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$48.92Apr 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5$100.00Apr 18, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5$167.00Apr 18, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5$167.23Apr 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5$100.00Apr 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5$100.00Apr 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5$151.00Apr 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16?$150.00Apr 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 16?$29.93Apr 16, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 16?$0.69Apr 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 16?$0.69Apr 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 16?$1.01Apr 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 16?$0.49Apr 16, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 16?$11.71Apr 16, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5$40.00Apr 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$643.67Apr 15, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$250.00Apr 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?$200.00Apr 12, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$300.00Apr 12, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $166.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".