Insidious-Earthquake
0xd2617031c8b5623ade5b28079d83982abf6bb663
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-18.95
Realised
$343.27
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
130000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$455.00
$-53.04
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$294.00
$6.02
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$262.50
$6.03
- NO
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
700 shares @ 37.3¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$258.99
$-2.00
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54348 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$244.57
$27.17
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$220.00
$-54.96
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
130000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$195.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$191.90
$3.98
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$170.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56654 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$141.63
$28.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.00Jun 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.00Jun 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?$1.96Jun 14, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jun 14, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 14, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03Jun 14, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.02Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.48Jun 14, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03Jun 14, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03Jun 14, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 14, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 14, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.23Jun 14, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.43Jun 14, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.33Jun 14, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jun 14, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 14, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69.30Jun 14, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.70Jun 14, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.56Jun 14, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.