Grotesque-Sinuosity
0xd262af2a76e1bfc28618f65bf8230b99c9f3ff0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-157.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 6?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 5?
638 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
212 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
195 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
101 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$5.00Mar 20, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMcDonald's CEO out by June 30?$0.55Mar 20, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$4.11Mar 20, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$6.00Mar 20, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMcDonald's CEO out by June 30?$1.00Mar 7, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 6?$5.00Mar 6, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 6?$5.00Mar 6, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$5.00Mar 5, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$10.00Mar 5, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$10.00Mar 5, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 5, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 5?$100.00Mar 5, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $9.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 12:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".