Absolute-Granola
0xd26a7cf8375bd8b83c253430ce4b5bcf925dcf55
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$29.74
Total PnL
$-3.39
Realised
$-0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
- YES
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?
8 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$8.22
$2.22
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.60
$0.60
- NO
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.39
$0.01
- NO
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.19
$0.01
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$276.89Nov 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Saudi security agreement by November 30?$6.00Nov 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$279.55Nov 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$284.03Nov 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$286.50Nov 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$4.00Nov 17, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?$10.00Nov 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? $1.00Sep 27, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?$1.00Sep 27, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?$1.00Sep 27, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.00Sep 27, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMAston Villa wins the Premier League?$1.01Sep 27, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in scoring?$1.02Sep 27, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMRepublika Srpska declares independence?$1.09Sep 27, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMPKK removed from U.S. terror list before April?$2.04Sep 27, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin by June 30?$2.08Sep 27, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMTrump meets with Carney in April?$2.22Sep 27, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before May?$2.22Sep 27, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before May?$2.00Apr 1, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by June 30?$2.00Apr 1, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $33.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 05:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".