Polite-Lock
0xd26b5571b357f90b6fa4ebe22c809b8bd459e4b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-213.66
Realised
$2.07
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
746 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
123 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
99 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$4.95Jun 4, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$3.16Jun 4, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.00Jun 4, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.07Jun 4, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$4.26Jun 4, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Jun 4, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.28Jun 4, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$8.09Jun 4, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.20Jun 4, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.07Jun 4, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$5.27Jun 4, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.00Jun 4, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$3.21Jun 4, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$11.36Jun 4, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$2.13Jun 4, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$3.18Jun 4, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Jun 4, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.10Jun 4, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.01Jun 4, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.07Jun 4, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 01:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".