Jaded-Gnat
0xd27079bb71655b9fd0808ba833fbe6214d52464f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$23.78
Total PnL
$-27.44
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "World Cup" this week? (September 29 - October 5)
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$10.00
$4.90
- GAZA
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$2.10
- NO
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
4 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$3.78
$0.36
- YES
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?
90 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
70 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (September 29 - October 5)
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
20 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.40
- YES
Will Trump say "Anarchist" this week? (September 29 - October 5)
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Will Trump say "Death penalty" this week? (September 29 - October 5)
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?$7.90Oct 6, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$4.98Oct 4, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$5.42Oct 4, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Omar" or "Crockett" this week? (September 29 - October 5)$10.00Oct 4, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$50.51Oct 2, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$54.04Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$59.28Oct 2, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$59.34Oct 2, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$61.04Oct 2, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$61.10Oct 2, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55.78Oct 2, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55.83Oct 2, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.92Oct 2, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.94Oct 2, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$53.19Oct 2, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$53.24Oct 2, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$61.00Oct 2, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$61.06Oct 2, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$58.43Oct 2, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$58.49Oct 2, 19:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $51.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 6, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".