Granular-Possible
0xd277d49df43c5e8cff5e2214f318bc107ceb94d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$76.37
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-32.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- BRAZIL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
94 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$29.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.47
$0.47
- SWITZERLAND
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$10.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.06
$1.06
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.77
$-0.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
2538 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
2020 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-279.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$51.61Jun 11, 17:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$10.39Jun 10, 11:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$53.31Jun 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$52.98Jun 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$18.34Jun 9, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$136.80Jun 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$10.69Jun 9, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$2.42Jun 9, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$52.44Jun 9, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$210.35Jun 9, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$52.80Jun 9, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$51.92Jun 9, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$50.60Jun 9, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$30.61Jun 9, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$10.13Jun 9, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$15.34Jun 9, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $38.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 11:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.