Sympathetic-Gemsbok
0xd27b644fe8e7246246cadcacd974f4af8d8a3966
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$131.42
Total PnL
$-322.79
Realised
$4.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
105 shares @ 94.3¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$94.76
$-4.24
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
41 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.66
$2.66
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
625 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-132.00
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
500 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-131.77
- YES
Will Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
273 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-37.49
- YES
Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$99.28May 15, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$34.00May 15, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.27May 15, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.01May 15, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 1?$10.01May 15, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?$10.01May 15, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on March 1?$10.02May 15, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$10.74May 15, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$20.33May 15, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$35.64May 15, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGrok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?$22.22Mar 3, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$34.04Mar 1, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 1, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.00Mar 1, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$20.00Mar 1, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 1?$10.00Mar 1, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on March 1?$10.00Mar 1, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?$10.00Mar 1, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Iran next?$12.44Mar 1, 05:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $20.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.