Innocent-Invitation
0xd27cf03182edbc0d104f0588329e5e1a1d1323ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$12.05
Total PnL
$-10.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
16 shares @ 68.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.05
$1.05
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Martin Small announced as next BlackRock CEO?
9 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.17
- NO
Dogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will a Republican win Illinois Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Bitcoin hits $80k before election?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
4 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Bitcoin up on Nov 6?
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2024$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$11.00May 19, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?$5.60May 19, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?$4.00Sep 9, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?$5.00Sep 9, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?$1.03Sep 9, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$1.42Sep 9, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?$2.00Nov 25, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$232.31Nov 25, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$10.47Oct 31, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?$0.40Oct 31, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMartin Small announced as next BlackRock CEO? $0.17Oct 31, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin hits $80k before election?$1.00Oct 31, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin up on Nov 6? $1.30Oct 31, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$1.37Oct 31, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$151.00Oct 31, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$15.70Oct 31, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Illinois Presidential Election?$0.30Oct 31, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1.00Oct 31, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $1.26Oct 31, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $13.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".