Vain-Eicosanoid
0xd27d3b7a750f2e08de58b6e4fa6e20f5675b3da2
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-136.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?
246 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-130.81
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 280 and 299 times September 5–12?
18 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 300 and 319 times September 5–12?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?$130.81Dec 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: December$130.81Dec 11, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$85.47Nov 30, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$28.64Nov 29, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$55.00Nov 29, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$1.83Nov 29, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$84.52Nov 21, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$84.52Nov 21, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$81.63Nov 17, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 12?$81.62Nov 12, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$76.26Nov 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$76.26Nov 8, 16:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 4, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$63.03Nov 3, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$62.72Nov 3, 03:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Nov 3, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Nov 2, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Nov 1, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 31, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 30, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $74.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.