Klutzy-Blush
0xd287fc2ba9620d45261a747f50df220c976beadd
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-72.31
Win rate
71%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
1675 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
569 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
484 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
412 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
298 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
264 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$11.36Jul 21, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$10.08Jul 21, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$30.93Jul 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$30.06Jul 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$12.12Jul 20, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$10.32Jul 20, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$13.01Jul 20, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$10.17Jul 20, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$20.62Jul 20, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$20.04Jul 20, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$25.51Jul 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$25.03Jul 20, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$26.31Jul 20, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$16.01Jul 20, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.01Jul 20, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?$3.28Jul 20, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$18.30Jul 20, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$10.35Jul 20, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$15.05Jul 20, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$10.24Jul 20, 06:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
35 closed markets, 71% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $18.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.