Plastic-Scrambled
0xd28a3f0e8d6c3d5c6f0c75b73451fe266d35fc48
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$22.49
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?
13751 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-27.50
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
11348 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-277.13
- YES
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?
5800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
4188 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-361.90
- YES
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?
2500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
1857 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-18.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
1243 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-125.74
- YES
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?
1149 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
1005 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.04
- YES
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?
997 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$2.00Jun 22, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.03Jun 22, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.54Jun 19, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.04Jun 19, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.02Jun 19, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.89Jun 19, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.03Jun 19, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.03Jun 19, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.03Jun 19, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.23Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.09Jun 18, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.03Jun 18, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.06Jun 18, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$10.20Jun 18, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.18Jun 18, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.27Jun 18, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.15Jun 18, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.01Jun 18, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.16Jun 18, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.01Jun 18, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 02:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.