0xd29008b2e0d1a288b37274fb1c221d2bf2c78580
0xd29008b2e0d1a288b37274fb1c221d2bf2c78580
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$55.22
Total PnL
$-859.71
Realised
$-373.25
Win rate
4%
112 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
16 shares @ 41.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$16.00
$9.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
4 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.38
$1.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.22
$1.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
4 shares @ 80.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.13
$0.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.26
$1.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.26
$0.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.16
$0.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.16
$1.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.13
$0.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.12
$0.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.88Jul 25, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$4.78Jul 25, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.19Jul 25, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$4.37Jul 25, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.38Jul 25, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$4.37Jul 25, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$7.33Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$4.37Jul 25, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.04Jul 25, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$4.28Jul 25, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.73Jul 25, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$4.68Jul 25, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$7.64Jul 25, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$4.68Jul 25, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$4.78Jul 25, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Jul 25, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00Jul 25, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Jul 25, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Jul 25, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Jul 25, 05:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 112 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
112 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 112 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.