Outgoing-Width
0xd2995677865e7a7ce388c18032a5769ff9437629
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.34
Total PnL
$-140.33
Realised
$28.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.34
$-2.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
736 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-44.97
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
513 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-35.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112K on August 1?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
288 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K August 4–10?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$39.97Dec 5, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$39.96Nov 30, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$37.67Nov 23, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$10.00Nov 9, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$5.00Oct 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$5.00Oct 30, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 30, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.00Oct 29, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.00Oct 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$20.00Oct 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$2.00Oct 29, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$2.00Oct 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 29, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.00Oct 29, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$27.39Oct 29, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?$1.00Oct 26, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?$1.00Oct 26, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?$2.00Oct 26, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$5.00Oct 26, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$26.11Oct 26, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.