Modest-Fixture
0xd2a042768c7cbc30777b79376d507638db769ae4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$105.00
Total PnL
$-279.79
Realised
$0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google say "Autonomous" during earnings call?
50 shares @ 67.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$50.00
$16.30
- YES
Will Google say "Nano Banana" during earnings call?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$20.00
$5.60
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
20 shares @ 93.4¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.94
$0.26
- YES
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in March?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$0.17
- NO
Will PayPal say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?
6 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$6.06
$2.00
- YES
Will Google say "Wiz" during earnings call?
548 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-235.64
- YES
Will Google say "Youtube Shorts" during earnings call?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-64.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
25 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?$18.68Mar 23, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$10.51Mar 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$1.90Mar 15, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?$16.12Mar 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$0.41Mar 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$7.18Mar 15, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?$15.84Mar 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$14.75Mar 2, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.07Mar 2, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.10Mar 2, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.07Mar 2, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.10Mar 2, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.10Mar 2, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.07Mar 2, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.07Mar 2, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.10Mar 2, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.05Mar 2, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.07Mar 2, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.05Mar 2, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.07Mar 2, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 23:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".