Necessary-Cinder
0xd2a09ff68734b6d86073d419e2079b62fe388b37
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$12.61
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$207.90
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
12 shares @ 16.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.35
$10.35
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
2917 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-595.62
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
1966 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-249.10
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
1193 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-297.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
999 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-296.79
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
401 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-54.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
397 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-293.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
392 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-69.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
387 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-54.74
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$47.00Mar 21, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$50.00Mar 21, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$21.00Mar 21, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$13.54Mar 21, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$18.43Mar 21, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$25.65Mar 21, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.57Mar 21, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$11.05Mar 21, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.43Mar 21, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$132.80Mar 21, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$63.40Mar 21, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$63.41Mar 21, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $61.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".