Normal-Chinchilla
0xd2a22d349757fc0c9998466ecb41156fef079a7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$240.00
Total PnL
$-212.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
240 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$240.00
$96.00
- NO
Will "MAGA" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
250 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 1)
200 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?
170 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-95.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$144.00Feb 28, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$115.50Feb 19, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$12.91Feb 16, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$14.49Feb 16, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$6.06Feb 16, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$31.23Feb 16, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$7.32Feb 16, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?$39.90Feb 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?$56.00Feb 15, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$27.84Feb 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$45.00Feb 6, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6AM ET$26.81Feb 6, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6AM ET$4.00Feb 6, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6AM ET$45.00Feb 6, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$19.20Feb 5, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$45.00Feb 5, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$8.36Feb 5, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$50.00Feb 5, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$86.89Feb 5, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$75.00Feb 5, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $34.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".