Crafty-Coincidence
0xd2a25ebf1c7129e9ac7e3020df7b2cfdf4b3fb30
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$183.36
Total PnL
$1.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
68 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.18
$1.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 12?
48 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$48.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 16?
38 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$38.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 8?
31 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$31.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 16?$38.00Apr 15, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 12?$48.00Apr 9, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 8?$31.00Apr 7, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on April 1?$49.05Apr 2, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on April 1?$49.00Mar 29, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C or higher on March 25?$54.05Mar 25, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C or higher on March 25?$54.00Mar 24, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 23?$76.15Mar 22, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 21?$10.00Mar 21, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 23?$76.00Mar 21, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 21?$9.99Mar 21, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on March 21?$79.40Mar 21, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on March 21?$79.00Mar 20, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 16°C or below on March 17?$60.06Mar 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 16°C or below on March 17?$60.00Mar 16, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on March 16?$19.44Mar 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on March 16?$19.36Mar 14, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$65.00Mar 11, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 11?$64.06Mar 11, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 11?$64.00Mar 10, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $43.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 07:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.