Gaseous-Poignance
0xd2a42c923900ddc7235c9d625fafb7588f469712
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$31.43
Total PnL
$-30.37
Realised
$-31.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
21 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$20.93
$0.21
- YES
US bank failure before July?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.86
$1.86
- TEXAS
Texas vs. Arizona State
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2025$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- NO
New pandemic in 2025?
1 shares @ 83.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Trump divorce in 2025?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Cybertruck explosion perp charged by Wednesday?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Jan 1, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$9.6KJan 1, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$8.0KJan 1, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$9.6KJan 1, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on January 31?$1.00Jan 1, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.00Jan 1, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$8.3KJan 1, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$4.8KJan 1, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$9.0KJan 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2025?$1.00Jan 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas vs. Arizona State$1.00Jan 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Jan 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump divorce in 2025?$1.00Jan 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO in 2025?$1.00Jan 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure before July?$1.00Jan 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCybertruck explosion perp charged by Wednesday?$1.00Jan 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$3.8KJan 1, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$8.4KJan 1, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".