Moist-Hate
0xd2a4f4b85a18341dff046c79b32c2e4ffcfc796f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-466.23
Realised
$27.31
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
1209 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.17
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
1103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.95
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
950 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.09
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
900 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.30
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
747 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
700 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
700 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.10
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
672 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$8.60Apr 5, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.00Apr 5, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 31, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$5.00Mar 31, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?$3.00Mar 28, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$23.84Mar 28, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$8.80Mar 28, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 31?$26.56Mar 20, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$30.10Mar 20, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$9.27Mar 19, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$20.00Mar 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$12.64Mar 14, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$28.19Mar 14, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$16.18Mar 14, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?$11.71Mar 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$20.00Mar 10, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?$9.76Mar 9, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 13?$14.71Mar 9, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$12.45Mar 9, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 04:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".