Elementary-Mean
0xd2a7e464074f837ff79208cb25b86076f23826b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$102.31
Total PnL
$-5.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?
102 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$102.31
$0.31
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 19?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on December 28?
1035 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$102.02Jun 5, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$102.10Jun 5, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$102.01May 25, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$102.10May 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$102.00May 21, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 14?$1.00May 21, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 14?$1.10May 21, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 14?$1.10May 21, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$1.20May 21, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?$6.01May 21, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$91.09May 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$91.00May 14, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 14?$1.10May 14, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 14?$1.10May 14, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$1.20May 14, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 14?$1.00May 14, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?$6.00May 14, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$102.10May 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$102.00May 9, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?$102.10May 9, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $78.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".