Sinful-Lobotomy
0xd2aceda954b0938903a86ab2e0683aefca5ee5fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-200.9K
Realised
$-755.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
5145 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
3479 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
3295 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
3041 shares @ 84.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
2899 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2888 shares @ 76.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2811 shares @ 77.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
2636 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2374 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2367 shares @ 83.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$54.78Jul 30, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$3.65Jul 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$12.41Jul 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$31.68Jul 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$37.96Jul 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$4.90Jul 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$54.67Jul 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$21.45Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$28.38Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$20.83Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$4.02Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$7.04Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$6.54Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.70Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$20.40Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$4.12Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$20.74Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$44.72Jul 30, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$21.75Jul 30, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.25Jul 30, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.