Bare-Poncho
0xd2b5c65ecf7442cddd63b02b1afdb9cb4813f72c
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$102.38
Total PnL
$-22.0K
Realised
$233.37
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$76.20
$7.20
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
280 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.18
$-1.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
4667 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
4000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
3250 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-105.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
2670 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-199.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
2305 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?
1752 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
1667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.76May 31, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$5.68May 31, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$5.04May 31, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$7.35May 31, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.11May 31, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$11.11May 31, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$2.09May 31, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$10.07May 31, 09:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$27.59May 30, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$16.20May 30, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.28May 30, 10:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $12.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".