Bogus-Restaurant
0xd2b61b02d8a8e0840a9765484e9b2bf73f1867c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-192.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 30?
176 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 15?
144 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?
134 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 25?
108 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 21?
99 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 13?
92 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 26?
85 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?
82 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11AM ET
77 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Houston Cougars
68 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23?$120.46Jul 23, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23?$118.17Jul 22, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 21?$1.71Jul 20, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 27?$102.99Jun 27, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 27?$61.23Jun 26, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 27?$38.88Jun 26, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 25?$1.61Jun 25, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?$2.86May 31, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 30?$1.32May 30, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 23?$115.38May 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 23?$113.88May 22, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 19?$31.43May 14, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$2.37May 7, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of April 13 2026?$105.46May 7, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 18?$0.00Apr 28, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 19?$29.76Apr 19, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of April 13 2026?$103.77Apr 17, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 16?$0.00Apr 17, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 15?$3.10Apr 16, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 28?$117.01Mar 31, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $35.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 05:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.