Content-Honoree
0xd2bb740974169b65204898612bc2df9145cf4569
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$12.35
Total PnL
$-568.35
Realised
$27.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 61.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.18
$-23.37
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.17
$-0.14
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?
928 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-259.84
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
414 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-198.72
- YES
Will Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?
135 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-87.75
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
125 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.75
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
50 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
1 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$320.00Apr 13, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$734.00Apr 13, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$12.05Apr 7, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$1.59Apr 7, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$5.21Apr 7, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$179.88Apr 7, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMHapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball$185.00Mar 30, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.00Mar 17, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$87.75Mar 16, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$87.32Mar 16, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball$96.20Mar 15, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$550.40Mar 14, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$82.88Mar 12, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 - March 15 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?$117.52Mar 11, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?$294.84Mar 11, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?$50.70Mar 11, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$260.77Mar 10, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?$349.97Mar 6, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$143.57Mar 6, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 - March 15 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?$49.72Mar 6, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $170.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.