Superior-Appearance
0xd2c0b9b797ab8659a8d1ad3c6f0facc02d671197
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$108.70
Total PnL
$-159.23
Realised
$-5.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$108.70
$8.70
- NO
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?
3375 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
526 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-25.40
- YES
US strike on Syria by December 31?
121 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US bank failure by March 31?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?
38 shares @ 78.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
22 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 16?
5 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$100.00Feb 20, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$41.20Feb 20, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$106.38Feb 20, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?$4.00Feb 6, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by March 31?$50.00Dec 31, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?$61.66Dec 31, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 30?$25.00Dec 31, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Syria by December 31?$19.67Dec 30, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?$20.00Dec 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?$20.00Dec 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Syria by December 31?$40.00Dec 30, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Syria by December 31?$20.00Dec 30, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$100.00Dec 30, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 30?$20.00Dec 30, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$233.75Dec 30, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?$30.00Dec 30, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?$26.88Dec 30, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMBrown University shooter arrested by December 19?$45.45Dec 30, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?$46.51Dec 30, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?$47.49Dec 30, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $32.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.