Flickering-Affidavit
0xd2c3fbb12e7f389fad95657ce0e70d591ee8d057
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
7553 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
192 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
169 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- DIAMONDBACKS
Diamondbacks vs. White Sox
133 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDiamondbacks vs. White Sox$69.00Jun 25, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$48.00Jun 25, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin new all time high before election?$0.64Dec 6, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military response against Iran in October?$0.00Nov 2, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" or "Puerto Rican" during New Mexico rally on October 31?$0.00Nov 2, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "ICE" during New Mexico rally on October 31?$0.00Nov 2, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?$0.00Nov 2, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?$0.00Nov 2, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Joe Rogan podcast?$0.00Nov 2, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Puerto Rico" during the Joe Rogan podcast?$97.22Nov 2, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" or "Puerto Rican" during New Mexico rally on October 31?$20.00Oct 31, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "ICE" during New Mexico rally on October 31?$10.00Oct 31, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin new all time high before election?$29.05Oct 31, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin new all time high before election?$13.80Oct 31, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin new all time high before election?$2.00Oct 31, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?$100.00Oct 30, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?$100.00Oct 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Joe Rogan podcast?$300.00Oct 30, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Puerto Rico" during the Joe Rogan podcast?$70.00Oct 30, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Joe Rogan podcast?$30.00Oct 30, 17:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $155.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".