Gloomy-Printer
0xd2c716aa8fb1c584f15c95f35a25b19d747fbbaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$10.32
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$6.01
$4.81
- NO
Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tether acquire Circle before September?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.30
$0.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in June 2025?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10-1.14ºC in June 2025?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.14ºC in June 2025?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY Will Tether acquire Circle before September?$1.30Aug 29, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?$3.00Aug 29, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 0.95ºC in June 2025?$6.00Jun 30, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89?$10.01Jun 30, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89?$10.00May 31, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?$10.00May 31, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?$9.99Apr 8, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Mickey 17' gross between 20-24m on its opening weekend?$0.00Apr 8, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Mickey 17' gross more than 24m on its opening weekend?$0.00Apr 8, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?$10.91Apr 8, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Mickey 17' gross less than 16m on its opening weekend?$10.88Mar 8, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Pump" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$2.00Mar 8, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Hack" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$2.00Mar 8, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "ETF" or "Exchange Traded Fund" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$2.00Mar 8, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$2.01Mar 8, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Ulbricht" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$2.87Mar 8, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Ulbricht" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$2.86Mar 7, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "ETF" or "Exchange Traded Fund" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$2.00Mar 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Pump" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$2.00Mar 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$2.00Mar 7, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $10.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 13:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 29, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.