Arid-Academy
0xd2d6bee4682beae46ef628a5ddf33fde69f0f460
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$35.38
Total PnL
$-85.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.39
$14.39
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.74
$-15.26
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.62
$-6.38
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
65 shares @ 15.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.63
$-7.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10AM ET
10464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 15?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
2857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 8, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 7, 01:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 5, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?$0.03Mar 1, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$42.04Mar 1, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$20.00Feb 28, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.00Feb 28, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$20.00Feb 28, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$15.69Feb 28, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$21.71Feb 28, 09:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 24, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 23, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 22, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 21, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $17.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".