Unique-Dud
0xd2df0adc7f018ce6460e8d6075cad7d54be7b572
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$78.26
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$34.91
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.16
$22.16
- NO
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$18.52
$8.52
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.63
$12.63
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.21
$3.21
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.34
$-11.66
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
60 shares @ 25.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.31
$-12.69
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
70 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$-2.03
- YES
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
84 shares @ 17.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.31
$-13.69
- YES
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.28
$-2.72
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.23
$-3.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.07Jan 18, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.03Jan 18, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.48Jan 18, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$17.22Jan 18, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$69.25Jan 18, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$65.03Jan 18, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$9.90Jan 18, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Jan 18, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.15Jan 18, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.35Jan 18, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.78Jan 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.22Jan 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.25Jan 18, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 18, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.81Jan 18, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.17Jan 18, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$8.00Jan 18, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.36Jan 18, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.00Jan 18, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$6.00Jan 18, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 23:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".