Corrupt-Drawing
0xd2e5837e4381860bd64d7111b808df6732886fe6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.25
Realised
$-2.28
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 20?
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?
93 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 17?
52 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 22?
35 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 23?
24 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 13?
23 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 13?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 21?
21 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 17?
17 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?$0.64May 28, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?$2.86May 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?$1.96May 27, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 26?$0.02May 26, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?$5.41May 26, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 26?$2.39May 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?$2.50May 25, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?$3.12May 25, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 23?$0.01May 23, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 23?$0.23May 22, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 22?$12.43May 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or below on May 23?$0.37May 22, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 23?$2.64May 22, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or below on May 23?$2.20May 22, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 23?$0.79May 22, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 23?$1.89May 22, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?$7.20May 22, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 22?$1.45May 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 22?$2.88May 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 22?$2.50May 21, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.