Ironclad-Alien
0xd2ec9a58365926933cee561d40195847340e059c
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$655.05
Total PnL
$-124.10
Realised
$-7.46
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
220 shares @ 54.1¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$119.90
$0.88
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$99.30
$5.00
- NO
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
100 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$94.94
$-0.15
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
80 shares @ 92.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$77.64
$3.37
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
50 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.38
$1.37
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
80 shares @ 63.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$46.00
$-4.40
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 26.6¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.50
$14.92
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
75 shares @ 61.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.13
$-11.63
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
40 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$32.02
$2.82
- YES
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.75
$-23.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Nathaniel Brown be in Germany's Starting 11?$250.00Jun 14, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aleksandar Pavlović be in Germany's Starting 11?$121.34Jun 14, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jamal Musiala be in Germany's Starting 11?$164.44Jun 14, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Florian Wirtz be in Germany's Starting 11?$135.00Jun 14, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aleksandar Pavlović be in Germany's Starting 11?$118.75Jun 14, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathaniel Brown be in Germany's Starting 11?$245.15Jun 14, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz be in Germany's Starting 11?$133.09Jun 14, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamal Musiala be in Germany's Starting 11?$103.11Jun 14, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamal Musiala be in Germany's Starting 11?$58.89Jun 14, 11:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.38Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$50.40Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$27.00Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$46.40Jun 12, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$15.60Jun 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$17.75Jun 12, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$22.12Jun 12, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$300.00Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $91.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.