Concrete-Face
0xd2f4966181a03dc09986427ea977eae4a6b54f8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$97.41
Total PnL
$-102.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
627 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.85
$-9.15
- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
354 shares @ 14.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.56
$-43.44
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
209 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$341.09Jan 8, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by January 15?$50.00Dec 28, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$219.77Nov 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$50.00Nov 4, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$67.36Nov 4, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$346.05Oct 24, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by August 31?$9.25Aug 27, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$100.00Aug 19, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$50.00Aug 19, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$100.00Aug 19, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$100.00Aug 18, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by August 31?$50.00Aug 18, 15:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $103.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".